Wednesday, October 8, 2008

The Do-Something Congress by Ron Paul

The Do-Something Congress

 It has not been a good week for the Republic.  It took quite a bit of trampling of the Constitution, but the bailout bill passed, as I suspected it would.

 

The bailout failed the first time it was brought to the House.  Undaunted, the Senate pressed on by attaching the bailout as an amendment to another House passed bill that was pending in the Senate.  The new bailout version had new taxes, so according to the Constitution it should not have originated in the Senate. 

 

The rallying cry heard all over the Hill the past two weeks was that Congress must act.  Our economy is facing a meltdown.  Would this bill fix it?  Nobody could really explain how it would.  In fact, few demonstrated any real understanding of credit markets, of derivatives, of credit default swaps or mortgage-backed securities.  If they did, they would have known better than to vote for this bill.  All they knew was that this administration was saying some frightening things, and asking for a lot of money.  And when has Congress ever been able to come up with a better solution to a problem than to throw more of your money at it?  So that is what Congress did, enacting a financial PATRIOT Act in the process.

 

In its embarrassment at being called a "Do-Nothing Congress" the 110thCongress took decisive action and did SOMETHING.  No matter that it was the wrong thing.  In fact, it wasn't until the Senate had a chance to load it up with even MORE spending, when it was finally inflationary and horrible enough, at $850 billion instead of a mere $700 billion, that it passed – and with a comfortable margin, in spite of constituent calls still coming in overwhelmingly against it.  57 members switched their vote!

 

The market went down anyway.  Our nation is now just that much more in the hole.  You will pay your part of this mess through inflation, and very likely hyperinflation.

 

Sometimes doing nothing is much better than thrashing about aimlessly.  When one is caught in quicksand, for example, or when one doesn't understand economics and finds oneself in the position Congress was in for the past two weeks, with decades of irresponsible monetary policy coming to a head.  Why should we trust the same people who said just a few months ago that the economy was perfectly sound?  The same people who just knew there were weapons of mass destruction?  The same people that crammed the PATRIOT Act down our throats?  Why not consult the people who had the foresight and understanding to see this coming?  They would have recommended such logical actions as repealing the Community Reinvestment Act, which forces banks to make bad loans, or allowing the market to set interest rates instead of the Federal Reserve system.  How about abolishing the Federal Reserve altogether?  There are many things that could have been done, but don’t expect Congress take a course of action that comes from a place of understanding and competence when they could just spend money.

 

This bailout will be the legacy of the 110th "Do-Something" Congress, along with record low approval ratings.  Here's hoping the 111th Congress will be a "Do the Right Thing" Congress, and will focus on repealing and abolishing what is wrong with government instead of reinforcing it.

 

 

Bloomberg news: Barclays, RBS in Debt Double Whammy as Rates Increase (Update4)

Barclays, RBS in Debt Double Whammy as Rates Increase (Update4)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=abh5PaCjs9pU

Bloomberg news: Iceland Drops Glitnir Purchase; Bank in Receivership (Update1)

Iceland Drops Glitnir Purchase; Bank in Receivership (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a9KS9N9H_GLw

Bloomberg news: Morgan Stanley Can Avoid Borrowing Until Summer, Analysts Say

Morgan Stanley Can Avoid Borrowing Until Summer, Analysts Say


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aTaRXYFw5kRo

Bloomberg news: Yen Rises to 3-Year High on Concern Rate Cuts May Fall Short

Yen Rises to 3-Year High on Concern Rate Cuts May Fall Short


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=ahr.oHAig2Bk

Bloomberg news: Fed May See Companies, States as Next Crisis Fronts (Update1)

Fed May See Companies, States as Next Crisis Fronts (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aCpcJSP7uFlw

Iceland, and now Pakistan, teetering on the brink of bankruptcy. U.S.A. next.

    Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves are so low that the country can only afford one month of imports and faces possible bankruptcy.

    Islamabad - Officially, the central bank holds $8.14 billion (£4.65 billion) of foreign currency, but if forward liabilities are included, the real reserves may be only $3 billion - enough to buy about 30 days of imports like oil and food.

    Nine months ago, Pakistan had $16 bn in the coffers.

    The government is engulfed by crises left behind by Pervez Musharraf, the military ruler who resigned the presidency in August.


Bloomberg news: U.K. Government Said to Provide Capital for Banks (Update2)

U.K. Government Said to Provide Capital for Banks (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=awcK2559EdAE

Bloomberg news: MetLife Profit Falls on Holdings; Stock Sale Planned (Update1)

MetLife Profit Falls on Holdings; Stock Sale Planned (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aKjhr4WttCiM

Bloomberg news: Asian Stocks Plunge on Credit Concern; Nikkei Average Tumbles

Asian Stocks Plunge on Credit Concern; Nikkei Average Tumbles


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a9SPUOvSXPfY

Bloomberg news: U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)

U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aGjZhxo.2W5k

Bloomberg news: U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)

U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aGjZhxo.2W5k

Bloomberg news: U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)

U.K. to Inject About $87 Billion in Country's Banks (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aGjZhxo.2W5k

Bloomberg news: Global Stocks, U.S. Futures Tumble as Credit Concern Deepens

Global Stocks, U.S. Futures Tumble as Credit Concern Deepens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=anzhPuQw1CXM

Bloomberg news: Bernanke Fails to Quell Turmoil as Investors Seek Rate Cuts

Bernanke Fails to Quell Turmoil as Investors Seek Rate Cuts


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a9w0Pt3xMtFg

Bloomberg news: Japan Bankruptcies Climb at Fastest Pace in 8 Years (Update2)

Japan Bankruptcies Climb at Fastest Pace in 8 Years (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a8416jJAdwDA

WSJ.com - Housing Pain Gauge: Nearly 1 in 6 Owners 'Under Water'

 
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Tuesday, October 7, 2008

End the Fed! Teleconference Tuesday night

We’ll get together tonight, Tuesday October 7th, to talk about the End the Fed! Project.  If you want to get involved then please attend.  The time is NOW and it is URGENT!  

In my opinion, we can now say that we have a Dictatorship of the Bankers in America.

The Fed led system is IMPLODING right now.

Americans will either be led into a New Order of the Bankers’ design or we will seize the opportunity to renew the promise of America.

The time is now.  The stakes are FREEDOM VS. SLAVERY.

The Future depends on YOU.

Please be on the call tonight and please be prepared to:

• Volunteer to take on a specific task
• Report on the tasks accomplished and actions that you have taken
• Report on the development of your local organizing committee

Here are some additional tasks and actions that we should be considering:

• Bannering and stickering
• Faxing
• Messaging all meetup groups
• Create blog for each End the Fed city

6 PM PDT, 8 PM CDT, 9 PM EDT

1 (605) 475-6006
code 281430

(PS:  Sorry for the short notice...so much Tyranny, so little time!)


Your Friend in Freedom,

Steven Vincent

End the Fed! Website:
http://www.EndTheFed.US
End the Fed Blog:
http://www.EndTheFed.blogspot.com
End the Fed! Organizers Meetup:
http://www.RonPaul.Meetup.com/186
End the Fed! Facebook Group:
http://apps.new.facebook.com/causes/121483
Cool END THE FED! and Liberty Themed T-shirts and Stuff:
http://www.endthefed.us/order.html
http://www.cafepress.com/RonPaulBook
Ron Paul’s Campaign for Liberty:
http://www.CampaignforLiberty.com


Bloomberg news: U.S. Consumer Credit Dropped by the Most on Record (Update1)

U.S. Consumer Credit Dropped by the Most on Record (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=araFtj3EAFFw

Bloomberg news: U.S. Stocks Drop, Led by Banks, Real-Estate Investment Trusts

U.S. Stocks Drop, Led by Banks, Real-Estate Investment Trusts


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aPIGCAeXKWNI

Bloomberg news: Bernanke Signals Fed Is Prepared to Cut Rates as Crisis Deepens

Bernanke Signals Fed Is Prepared to Cut Rates as Crisis Deepens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=axrNqNxgZpZk

Bloomberg news: Massachusetts Pulls Note Offering Amid Market Strains (Update2)

Massachusetts Pulls Note Offering Amid Market Strains (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=ajNjk_xRku.Y

Bloomberg news: IMF Predicts Global Economy Heads for `Major Downturn' in 2009

Here's how it always works:  once the end of a company, economy or system is well under way and irreversible, the establishment then begins to pump the fact in the media to provoke a panic and collapse.




IMF Predicts Global Economy Heads for `Major Downturn' in 2009

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=az0Qc87VU3bM

Bloomberg news: U.S. Stocks Drop, Led by Banks, Real-Estate Investment Trusts

U.S. Stocks Drop, Led by Banks, Real-Estate Investment Trusts


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aIuKvvRZ9h3g

Bloomberg news: Fed to Purchase U.S. Commercial Paper to Ease Crunch (Update3)

Fed to Purchase U.S. Commercial Paper to Ease Crunch (Update3)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a_sTidQZdyOQ

Link Suggestion from a visitor to GoldSeek.com

The Fed is Bankrupt: Update on the Helicopter - The Secret Death of the Fed:

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Bloomberg news: RBS, British Banks in Discussions on Funding Plan (Update1)

RBS, British Banks in Discussions on Funding Plan (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a23Kd2pHUzh4

Bloomberg news: Iceland Seeks Loan From Russia, Pegs Currency (Update2)

Iceland Seeks Loan From Russia, Pegs Currency (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aV.chNI42D8o

Bloomberg news: Overnight CP Yields Fall, Seven-Day Rates Jump as Fed Steps in

Overnight CP Yields Fall, Seven-Day Rates Jump as Fed Steps in


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aUHship97CzQ

Bloomberg news: GM's Europe Unit to Suspend Production on Sales Drop (Update2)

GM's Europe Unit to Suspend Production on Sales Drop (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=alMuLBgMcJNA

GM's Europe Unit to Suspend Production on Sales Drop (Update2)

GM's Europe Unit to Suspend Production on Sales Drop (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=alMuLBgMcJNA

Reuters.com - Fed creates facility to buy commercial paper

End the Fed (endthefed@sbcglobal.net) has sent you this article.  Personal Message:     WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve on Tuesday announced it would create a special-purpose facility, with the Treasury Department's blessing, to begin buying commercial paper in yet another emergency move aimed at calming chaotic financial markets.  The central bank said it was acting because money market mutual funds and other investors have become increasingly reluctant to buy commercial paper, which is widely issued to provide vital funds for day-to-day business operations at many companies.  Reuters.com - Fed creates facility to buy commercial paper     http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4964S420081007  This service is not intended to encourage spam. The details provided by your colleague have been used for the sole purpose of facilitating this email communication and have not been retained by Thomson Reuters. Your personal details have not been added to any database or mailing list.  If you would like to receive news articles delivered to your email address, please subscribe at http://www.reuters.com/newsmails

Monday, October 6, 2008

Reuters.com - U.S. calls for unity as crisis wrecks markets

End the Fed (endthefed@sbcglobal.net) has sent you this article.  Personal Message:       Reuters.com - U.S. calls for unity as crisis wrecks markets     http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE49542Y20081006  This service is not intended to encourage spam. The details provided by your colleague have been used for the sole purpose of facilitating this email communication and have not been retained by Thomson Reuters. Your personal details have not been added to any database or mailing list.  If you would like to receive news articles delivered to your email address, please subscribe at http://www.reuters.com/newsmails

Bloomberg news: Overnight Commercial Paper Rates Rise as Bank Bailouts Spread

Overnight Commercial Paper Rates Rise as Bank Bailouts Spread


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a4Svjqa5dzp0

Bloomberg news: Fed Boosts Cash Auctions to $900 Billion, May Do More (Update3)

Fed Boosts Cash Auctions to $900 Billion, May Do More (Update3)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=apVp3yespCX8

Bloomberg news: Global Stocks Retreat, Led by Banks, as Credit Crisis Widens

Global Stocks Retreat, Led by Banks, as Credit Crisis Widens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a9qSZ9qLj_X8

Bloomberg news: Fed Boosts Cash Auctions to $900 Billion, May Do More (Update2)

Fed Boosts Cash Auctions to $900 Billion, May Do More (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aKehT8Q3KSLw

Bloomberg news: Money-Market Rates Climb as Banks Hoard Cash, Crisis Deepens

Money-Market Rates Climb as Banks Hoard Cash, Crisis Deepens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aU6avX0ESmxo

Bloomberg news: Deflation Threat Returns as Asset Markets Decline (Update1)

Deflation Threat Returns as Asset Markets Decline (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=azRTZ.U_ieuQ

Bloomberg news: Emerging Market Stocks Fall Most in 2 Decades; Russia Tumbles

Emerging Market Stocks Fall Most in 2 Decades; Russia Tumbles


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aVI6dQ4kJSfY

Bloomberg news: Commodities R.I.P. as Leverage Vanishes, Growth Slows (Update2)

Commodities R.I.P. as Leverage Vanishes, Growth Slows (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aIYZmuAcPtKg

Reuters.com - Fed to boost auctions, pay interest on reserves

End the Fed (endthefed@sbcglobal.net) has sent you this article.  Personal Message:       Reuters.com - Fed to boost auctions, pay interest on reserves     http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4953X520081006  This service is not intended to encourage spam. The details provided by your colleague have been used for the sole purpose of facilitating this email communication and have not been retained by Thomson Reuters. Your personal details have not been added to any database or mailing list.  If you would like to receive news articles delivered to your email address, please subscribe at http://www.reuters.com/newsmails

Reuters.com - U.S. urges global action on credit crisis

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Reuters.com - Governments act to stem crisis, markets shaken

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Reuters.com - SEC, Fed aware of everything at Lehman: Fuld

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Sunday, October 5, 2008

Bloomberg news: Asian Stocks Fall for Third Day as Global Credit Crisis Deepens

Asian Stocks Fall for Third Day as Global Credit Crisis Deepens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aJwQOFfKGL4E

Bloomberg news: European Crisis Deepens; Officials Vow to Save Banks (Update1)

European Crisis Deepens; Officials Vow to Save Banks (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aIcEL0jjSK74

Bloomberg news: U.S. Stock Futures Decline After Global Credit Crunch Deepens

U.S. Stock Futures Decline After Global Credit Crunch Deepens


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=axPvvWoesGS4

Bloomberg news: Euro Falls to 13-Month Low as Credit Crisis Spreads to Europe

Euro Falls to 13-Month Low as Credit Crisis Spreads to Europe


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aU2VZyZhdG48

Bloomberg news: Hypo Real Gets EU50 Billion Government-Led Bailout (Update1)

Hypo Real Gets EU50 Billion Government-Led Bailout (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aSS161MtBpd8

Bloomberg news: Lehman Cash Crunch Caused by Lender JPMorgan, Creditors Say

Lehman Cash Crunch Caused by Lender JPMorgan, Creditors Say


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aOBEg1wAitck

Bloomberg news: UniCredit Approves Capital-Strengthening Plan to Calm Investors

UniCredit Approves Capital-Strengthening Plan to Calm Investors


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=ayEWV4LczDvw

Iceland in talks on rescue plan for troubled banks: report



Last Update: 10:28 AM ET Oct 5, 2008

A week after nationalizing one of its major banks, Iceland's government is said to be in talks with the central bank and leaders of its top pension funds to hammer out a plan to rescue its distressed banking industry, according to a media report. ...Read the rest of the story


German Government Leads Hypo Real Estate Rescue Talks, $49 Billion Bailout

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aZYO5onM0Bi4

Iceland on the Verge of Economic Implosion?

Iceland in Talks, Won't Comment on Reported $14 Billion Bailout


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aJUjEkszy3.8

Saturday, October 4, 2008

European leaders vow to fight financial crisis

http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE49267J20081004  

Bloomberg news: Belgium Is Exploring `All Methods' for Fortis (Update2)

Belgium Is Exploring `All Methods' for Fortis (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=ajitmrFTa8TY

European Union Leaders Meet in Summit Over Financial Crisis

Calls for a "Global Summit"; Sarkozy: "A New World" will rise out of the
ashes of this crisis.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=akIlMk6hiYOE

Global Summit (the public, for the cameras version) of monetary powers will
be held within 2 weeks; "global solutions to global problems" will be
forwarded; moves toward world currency will be made; UN will be given a
greater world economic role--Ed.

Ron Paul: This Country is Bankrupt, On the Verge of Major Events

End the Fed! - Political Speech in front of Cleveland FED

Part 1

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8-z6WvdtcCE

Part 2

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=94q2rGr2Lb8

Sean Ryan for Congress

"In our darkest hour, the light of liberty will shine brighter than ever before..."

 

Ron Paul: 1989 Soviet-style Collapse Probable in US

Dr. Paul's Statement on the Passage of the Bailout

Dr. Paul's Statement on the Passage of the Bailout
Posted by Matt Hawes on 10/03/08
Last updated 10/03/08


United States House of Representatives
Statement on HR 1424
October 3, 2008


Madame Speaker, only in Washington could a bill demonstrably worse than its predecessor be brought back for another vote and actually expect to gain votes.
  That this bailout was initially defeated was a welcome surprise, but the power-brokers in Washington and on Wall Street could not allow that defeat to be permanent.  It was most unfortunate that this monstrosity of a bill, loaded up with even more pork, was able to pass. 


The Federal Reserve has already injected hundreds of billions of dollars into US and world credit markets.
  The adjusted monetary base is up sharply, bank reserves have exploded, and the national debt is up almost half a trillion dollars over the past two weeks.  Yet, we are still told that after all this intervention, all this inflation, that we still need an additional $700 billion bailout, otherwise the credit markets will seize and the economy will collapse.  This is the same excuse that preceded previous bailouts, and undoubtedly we will hear it again in the future after this bailout fails. 


One of the most dangerous effects of this bailout is the incredibly elevated risk of moral hazard in the future.  The worst performing financial services firms, even those who have been taken over by the government or have filed for bankruptcy, will find all of their poor decision-making rewarded.  What incentive do Wall Street firms or any other large concerns have to make sound financial decisions, now that they see the federal government bailing out private companies to the tune of trillions of dollars?  As Congress did with the legislation authorizing the Fannie and Freddie bailout, it proposes a solution that exacerbates and encourages the problematic behavior that led to this crisis in the first place.  

With deposit insurance increasing to $250,000 and banks able to set their reserves to zero, we will undoubtedly see future increases in unsound lending.
  No one in our society seems to understand that wealth is not created by government fiat, is not created by banks, and is not created through the manipulation of interest rates and provision of easy credit.  A debt-based society cannot prosper and is doomed to fail, as debts must either be defaulted on or repaid, neither resolution of which presents this country with a pleasant view of the future.  True wealth can only come about through savings, the deferral of present consumption in order to provide for a higher level of future consumption.  Instead, our government through its own behavior and through its policies encourages us to live beyond our means, reducing existing capital and mortgaging our future to pay for present consumption.   


The money for this bailout does not just materialize out of thin air.  The entire burden will be borne by the taxpayers, not now, because that is politically unacceptable, but in the future.  This bailout will be paid for through the issuance of debt which we can only hope will be purchased by foreign creditors.  The interest payments on that debt, which already take up a sizeable portion of federal expenditures, will rise, and our children and grandchildren will be burdened with increased taxes in order to pay that increased debt.

As usual, Congress has show itself to be reactive rather than proactive.
  For years, many people have been warning about the housing bubble and the inevitable bust.  Congress ignored the impending storm, and responded to this crisis with a poorly thought-out piece of legislation that will only further harm the economy.  We ought to be ashamed.


Friday, October 3, 2008

Russian equities tumble, forcing trading suspension

http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/russian-equities-tumble-forcing-trading/story.aspx?guid=%7B1EA542B6%2DBE6B%2D4873%2D88DD%2D20A5CEE17705%7D&tool=1&dist=bigcharts&

RUSSIAN EQUITIES TUMBLE, FORCING TRADING SUSPENSION


By Polya Lesova

4:02 PM ET Oct 3, 2008


NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Oil and mining shares led a broad-based tumble in Russian
equities Friday, forcing the suspension of trading three times on the RTS stock
exchange, as the ongoing sell-off in Russian shares shows no sign of abating.

The dollar-denominated RTS stock index fell 7.1% to end at 1,070 points. The index
posted a weekly loss of 17%.

Trading on the RTS stock exchange was suspended three times for one hour each time,
because the technical index fell more than 5% compared to the opening value.


In recent weeks, Russian's two stock exchanges have suspended trading on numerous
occasions to halt a slide in shares.

At Micex, Moscow's other stock exchange, the ruble-denominated Micex index fell 5.3%
Friday.

On the RTS exchange, the RTS Oil and Gas index fell 8% and the RTS Metals and Mining
index tumbled 10%.

Shares of state-controlled VTB Bank fell Friday after it said that the bank's
nine-month net profit dropped to 7.4 billion rubles as of Oct.1, down from 16.8
billion rubles as of Sept.1.

"These results were primarily caused by negative trends in stock markets and the
following reassessment of the Bank's securities portfolio," VTB said in a statement.

The Russian equity markets have been hit hard by the global credit crisis. The RTS
stock index has tumbled 53% this year, making it one of the worst performers among
global emerging markets.

Investors have pulled billions of dollars out of Russia on concerns over the credit
crisis, falling oil prices and state interference in the economy, as well as
escalating geopolitical tensions with the West after the military conflict between
Georgia and Russia.

Capital outflows

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Net capital outflows from Russia totaled $16.7 billion in the third quarter of this
year, the central bank said Friday citing preliminary data. In contrast, during the
second quarter of the year, there were net capital inflows of $40.7 billion.

"There's tremendous change of perception about Russia," said Lars Christensen,
senior analyst at Danske Bank. "Russia was a safe haven within the global economy and
that safe haven status completely disappeared."

"If oil prices continue to tumble, I have a hard time seeing a sustainable rebound
in Russian asset prices," Christensen said.

The recent sharp decline in the prices of many commodities, such as oil, has weighed
heavily on the Russian equity markets, which are dominated by oil and gas stocks.

"A lot of investors had become too complacent that we can only have 8% or 9% growth
in the Russian economy," Christensen said. "We do not see a crash landing, but we see
a relatively sharp growth slowdown."

In other news, Oleg Deripaska's Russian Machines said Friday it has terminated its
$1.54 billion investment in the Canadian automotive supplier Magna because of the
global financial crisis. See Emerging Markets Report.

Russian Machines is a subsidiary of Basic Element, the holding company of Russian
oligarch Deripaska.

In New York, the Market-Vectors Russia ETF , which tracks the performance of the
Russian stock market, fell 8.6%.

Bloomberg news: Treasurers Try to Keep Credit With `Hardball' Banks (Update1)

Treasurers Try to Keep Credit With `Hardball' Banks (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aMYRQ9QQjk3E

Bloomberg news: Iceland Savers Fear `House of Cards' May Collapse After Glitnir

Iceland Savers Fear `House of Cards' May Collapse After Glitnir


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aQwIFKhLTL2Q

Paulson-Bernanke Steps Created `Big Ripples,' Leading to Rescue

Paulson-Bernanke Steps Created `Big Ripples,' Leading to Rescue


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aFzDKV89fQ0g

Our Government is Insolvent: Ron Paul

Liquidity is in the Eye of the Holder

Liquidity is in the Eye of the Holder

By: Peter Schiff, Euro Pacific Capital, Inc. 


-- Posted Friday, 3 October 2008 | 
Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com 

We are being told loudly and repeatedly that the gargantuan mortgage bail-out package is necessary because illiquid mortgage-backed securities are clogging our financial arteries, threatening the economic equivalent of cardiac arrest. The idea of the plan is to transfer these supposedly valuable, but currently unmarketable, assets to the government so that private institutions can freely lend once more. The monumental flaw in this argument is that the mortgage backed securities are in fact highly liquid, just not at the prices the owners would like to receive.

Mortgage bonds are just like houses. They won’t sell if the owners stubbornly refuse to drop the price. However, they can find buyers if they acknowledge reality, and lower their expectations accordingly.

The government tells us that if these assets are held to maturity their full value will eventually be realized, and that it is only because of a lack of current liquidity that their value is not reflected in the market. However, as many private transactions have shown us in recent months, these assets will find buyers at the right price. These are not overly exotic assets but relatively straight forward mortgage obligations. The inability to find buyers is not a function of liquidity but simply of price. The government is seeking to “create liquidity” by overpaying.

The government’s assumptions about the “held to maturity” value of these mortgages completely understate the likelihood of widespread default. Some of the “illiquid” assets represent tranches of mortgage-backed securities that will be completely wiped out. Even the higher quality tranches will suffer severe losses due to mortgages that will inevitably go bad.

For example, take a $500,000 adjustable rate mortgage on a condo in Las Vegas that has a current value of only $250,000. To assume that this asset can be safely held to maturity is absurd, when in all likelihood the borrower will default shortly after the rate re-sets, even if the borrower has not yet shown signs of distress. Of course such a mortgage would be completely illiquid if one tried to sell it anywhere near par, but would be extremely liquid if priced to reflect a more realistic value; say 35 cents on the dollar. But if the government pays prices that fairly factors in likely defaults, it will bankrupt the very institutions it is trying to bail out.

Another factor that has not yet been considered is that that the government has already indicated that it will try to avoid foreclosures by reducing the principal and interest rates on the loans it acquires to levels current homeowners can afford. This will immediately eliminate the delusion of the government recouping its “investment” as even if held to maturity the mortgages will never be worth anything close to what the government pays.

Also missing in the discussion is the concept of the time value of money. Even if a substantial percentage of the $700 billion is eventually recovered, it will still represent a huge loss for taxpayers who theoretically have to come up with the cash today to buy the mortgages. Further, the inflationary nature of the bailout ensures a substantial rise in long term interest rates. This will further suppress the present values of the low coupon mortgages the government will be restructuring.

The moral hazard implicit in the government’s willingness to re-write troubled mortgages ensures that the plan will spark a wave of new delinquencies by borrowers looking to cash in on the windfall. Since troubled loans will no longer be foreclosed by lenders but instead sold to the government, the rational choice for many homeowners will be to stop making their mortgage payments and wait for a better deal from the government. This reality will eventually push the cost of this bailout well above $2 trillion.

In addition to the government bailout, distressed lenders are looking to the suspension of “mark to market” accounting rules as a means of salvation. These rules require institutions to value their mortgage assets according to the most recently traded price. However, suspending these rules will not make the losses go away. Rather it will simply allow lenders to pretend that the losses do not exist.

Armed with such fantasies, banks could pretend that their mortgage assets had more value, and that their balance sheets were well capitalized. They would not need to raise more capital in order to fund new loans. But, just as a person with no sensitivity to pain runs the risk of catastrophic injury, such a move would encourage financial institutions to take greater risks which, in the end, will produce more bankruptcies and greater losses.

In fact, the Senate version of the bailout bill, which authorizes a suspension of mark- to-market, also increases the dollar limit on FDIC insured deposits from $100,000 to $250,000 (with no extra money budgeted to fund the increased taxpayer liability). Only in Washington would a bill pass which simultaneous makes banks more likely to fail while increasing taxpayer exposure when they do!

For a more in depth analysis of our financial problems and the inherent dangers they pose for the U.S. economy and U.S. dollar denominated investments, read my new book "Crash Proof: How to Profit from the Coming Economic Collapse." Click here to order a copy today.

For an updated look at my investment strategy order a copy of my just released book ‘The little Book of Bull Moves in Bear markets.” Click here to order your copy now.

More importantly, don't wait for reality to set in. Protect your wealth and preserve your purchasing power before it's too late. Discover the best way to buy gold at www.goldyoucanfold.com. Download my free Special Report, "The Powerful Case for Investing in Foreign Securities" at www.researchreportone.com. Subscribe to my free, on-line investment newsletter, "The Global Investor" at http://www.europac.net/newsletter/newsletter.asp.


-- Posted Friday, 3 October 2008 | 
Digg This Article | Source: GoldSeek.com

Peter Schiff C.E.O. and Chief Global Strategist


Euro Pacific Capital, Inc.
10 Corbin Drive, Suite B
Darien, Ct. 06840
800-727-7922
www.europac.net
schiff@europac.net


Mr. Schiff is one of the few non-biased investment advisors (not committed solely to the short side of the market) to have correctly called the current bear market before it began and to have positioned his clients accordingly. As a result of his accurate forecasts on the U.S. stock market, commodities, gold and the dollar, he is becoming increasingly more renowned. He has been quoted in many of the nation's leading newspapers, including 
The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Investor's Business Daily, The Financial Times, The New York Times, The Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, The Chicago Tribune, The Dallas Morning News, The Miami Herald, The San Francisco Chronicle, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, The Arizona Republic, The Philadelphia Inquirer, and the Christian Science Monitor, and has appeared on CNBC, CNNfn., and Bloomberg. In addition, his views are frequently quoted locally in theOrange County Register

Mr. Schiff began his investment career as a financial consultant with Shearson Lehman Brothers, after having earned a degree in finance and accounting from U.C. Berkley in 1987. A financial professional for seventeen years he joined Euro Pacific in 1996 and has served as its President since January 2000. An expert on money, economic theory, and international investing, he is a highly recommended broker by many of the nation's financial newsletters and advisory services. 



This page printed from: http://news.goldseek.com/EuroCapital/1223061480.php

Bloomberg news: Paulson Recruits Asset Managers to Stop Loss of `Precious Days'

Paulson Recruits Asset Managers to Stop Loss of `Precious Days'


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aczLjF35rxQM

States, Roiled in Credit Crisis, Face Lower Revenue (Update1)

States, Roiled in Credit Crisis, Face Lower Revenue (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aTpeeNyM0HuQ

Reuters.com - Rescue bill leaves investors still shy about risk

"The markets are still paralyzed,"...
http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4927VI20081003

Bloomberg news: Lehman Creditors Say JPMorgan Caused Liquidity Crisis (Update2)

Lehman Creditors Say JPMorgan Caused Liquidity Crisis (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aexG4.det3a0

Reuters.com - Pimco's Gross says he is raising cash and waiting: CNBC

 America is basically "for sale"...  
  http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4927I920081003

Bloomberg news: Lehman Creditors Say JPMorgan Caused Liquidity Crisis (Update2)

Lehman Creditors Say JPMorgan Caused Liquidity Crisis (Update2)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aexG4.det3a0

Libor Mystifies Americans as Mayor Reads `Doomsday' (Update2)

Libor Mystifies Americans as Mayor Reads `Doomsday"


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=ahZ4C6T_mjfk

Bloomberg news: States, Roiled in Credit Crisis, Face Lower Revenue (Update1)

States, Roiled in Credit Crisis, Face Lower Revenue (Update1)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aTpeeNyM0HuQ

Bloomberg news: Crisis Hits Main Street as Employers Cut More Jobs (Update3)

Crisis Hits Main Street as Employers Cut More Jobs (Update3)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aa5JDGpEM8bc

U.S. Payrolls Fell by 159,000; Jobless Rate at 6.1% (Update1)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a30gwHKvL_q4

Treasurers Try to Keep Credit With `Hardball' Banks (Update1)

Oct. 3 (Bloomberg) -- Almost 100 U.S. corporate treasurers gathered for an
emergency conference call yesterday to warn each other that banks are using
any excuse to charge more to renew lines of credit.


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aMYRQ9QQjk3E

Hidden in the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008

http://www.dailypauhttp://www.http:_ (http://www.dailypaul.com/node/66109)
 
Section 203 of the Financial Services Regulatory Relief Act of 2006 is  
amended by striking ‘‘October 1, 2011’’ and inserting ‘‘October 1, 2008’’.
 
They changed the effective date from 2011 to yesterday!
 (http://www.law.cornell.ed/) The changes eliminated the requirement for
banks to keep reserves of cash on  hand to cover deposits, they abolished the
Federal Reserve’s Earnings  Participation Account, they granted the ability for
the Fed to create their own  rules for distributing their earnings, and they
granted the ability to make  payments to foreign banks.  
These things were not scheduled to go into effect for 3 more years. Unclear  
is why they needed these changes at all, the other is why they need them  now.
Continued at: _http://www.dailypauhttp://www.http:_
(http://www.dailypaul.com/node/66109)  
===
More problems with the bill & easy action from Public Citizen:
_http://action.citizen.org/campaign.jsp?campaign_KEY=26039_
(http://action.citizen.org/campaign.jsp?campaign_KEY=26039)  
The bill's bailout provisions provide little oversight of the Treasury's  
vastly expanded powers and lack badly needed consumer protections:
 
- The Secretary of the Treasury receives sweeping authority with virtually  
no restraints on how to exercise it
- The bill contains no provisions to help  troubled homeowners stay in their
homes.
- Congress has removed a provision  that would have allowed judges to modify
mortgages for homeowners in bankruptcy  - the only significant consumer
protection in the bill.
- The provision  governing executive compensation is nearly meaningless
because it applies only  in narrow circumstances, gives the Secretary of the
Treasury broad discretion in  crafting most of the restrictions, and allows the
Secretary to narrow the  provision's applicability even further.
- The judicial review provisions are  scarcely better than in the original
Treasury proposal.
 
I, along with Public Citizen, urge you to reject the bailout bill and take  
the time to assess other approaches such as providing direct aid to homeowners.
 If Congress does pass some form of the Treasury proposal, I urge it to slow
down  and ensure that the bill contains proper oversight, accountability and
judicial  review provisions.
 
Easy action expressing this at:
_http://action.citizen.org/campaign.jsp?campaign_KEY=26039_
(http://action.citizen.org/campaign.jsp?campaign_KEY=26039)
 

===
 
You can call the Capitol Switchboard at 800-473-6711
or 202-224-3121 to ask to be transferred to the offices  of
your Representative.
 
Easy action to say, "No to the Bailout Legislation!" at:
_http://www.votenobailout.org/_ (http://www.votenobailout.org/)
 

In this one, you write your own message explaining what you
feel is wrong with the current bill, or just send their one line.
Oppose the $700 Billion  Mortgage Bailout
_http://congressorg.capwiz.com/congressorg/issues/alert/?alertid=11957686_
(http://congressorg.capwiz.com/congressorg/issues/alert/?alertid=11957686)

===
 
An additional article: Remarks by former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill:  
Calls Bailout plan "crazy":
_http://www.bloomberhttp://www.http://wwhttp://w&<WBR>sid=atJMmCl&refer=home_
(http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=atJMmClVjevU&refer=home)

State Governments Begin to Fail

http://endthefed.blogspot.com/2008/10/reuterscom-california-may-need.html

California may need emergency $7 billion loan: report
"Absent a clear resolution to this financial crisis, California and other states may be unable to obtain the necessary level of financing to maintain government operations and may be forced to turn to the federal treasury for short-term financing," Schwarzenegger wrote in the letter, according to the paper.  Reuters.com - California may need emergency $7 billion loan: report

California may need emergency $7 billion loan: report

"Absent a clear resolution to this financial crisis, California and other states may be unable to obtain the necessary level of financing to maintain government operations and may be forced to turn to the federal treasury for short-term financing," Schwarzenegger wrote in the letter, according to the paper.  Reuters.com - California may need emergency $7 billion loan: report
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE4922982008100

Thursday, October 2, 2008

Ron Paul on Bloomberg

Economists brace for biggest U.S. monthly job loss since '03

Economic Outlook
Economists brace for biggest U.S. monthly job loss since '03

U.S. employers probably eliminated 110,000 net jobs in September, the steepest loss since early 2003, economists say as the market looked ahead to the government's nonfarm payroll report due Friday morning. ...Read the rest of the story

Bloomberg news: Commodities Head for Biggest Weekly Decline in Over 50 Years

Commodities Head for Biggest Weekly Decline in Over 50 Years


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aQWSMRzkHnW4

Bloomberg news: Financial-Rescue Bill Gains Support Before U.S. Congress Vote

Financial-Rescue Bill Gains Support Before U.S. Congress Vote


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aFMfuqgED_Nk

Breakdown Approaches Climax

The banking system breakdown is very far along, but still early. Remember USFed Chairman Bernanke stated over a year ago that the mortgage problem was contained. Try not to laugh. The bond crisis is absolute, broad, deep, and all-inclusive, enough to kill the USTreasurys after it kills the US banking system. The heart attack signals are with the LIBOR spreads over USTreasurys, the money market, the TED spread (Treasury versus EuroDollar), and short-term USTreasurys. Charts resemble heart attacks and EKG electro-cardiogram monitors. Many details appear in the October Hat Trick Letter report just posted. The bank runs have begun in earnest. Nevermind the big banks for a moment. The smaller ones are entering seizures. The small and medium sized cities are also entering seizures. Here are two stories, one about a city and another about the bank holiday coming....

http://news.goldseek.com/GoldenJackass/1222985093.php

Bloomberg news: Lawmakers Switching Sides to Support Rescue Bill (Update3)

Lawmakers Switching Sides to Support Rescue Bill (Update3)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aL8DSeq5xI3A

Bloomberg news: Dollar Heads for Weekly Loss Versus Yen Before Payrolls Report

Dollar Heads for Weekly Loss Versus Yen Before Payrolls Report


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a1PwLlE0zIOc

Bloomberg news: Bond Dealers Ogle Spreads in Trading Off Wall Street (Update3)

Bond Dealers Ogle Spreads in Trading Off Wall Street (Update3)


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=av.1oNLliTgQ

Fed Loans to Banks, Dealers, AIG Soar to $410 Billion

The credit crisis goes far beyond the subprime mortgage market.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=aEk87flaQp_Y

Libor Rises, Commercial Paper Slumps as Credit Freeze Deepens

The crisis is Global. The "Bailout" is a handout and a power grab.


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=email_en&refer=home&sid=a0JbUyhTA71Y

The Financial Meltdown is Global and It is NOW



The Yen Carry Trade is History

There is increasing reason to think that the "Bailout" will accomplish nothing but a creation of authority over the Financial/Economic life of the nation vested in the Treasury Department and its master, the Federal Reserve Bank.  The overwhelming preponderance of the evidence is that the financial crisis is a global phenomenon which cannot be contained by a limited U.S. government bailout.  There is some question as to whether the situation has spiraled out of the control of the Money Masters or whether the present situation is developing according to the end game strategy.

Today, in spite of the Senate's passing of the Bailout and the anticipated cowing of the House, world markets are falling.  This may be an indication of growing panic and the effects of a severe constriction of credit in the markets.  Significantly, the Euro is taking a severe beating.

Valid reports indicate that credit markets worldwide have seized up.  It is becoming difficult to borrow money at all levels of the world economy.  Reports are trending to anticipate the failure of Municipal and State governments as well as a blow up of the credit card market.  This article from the normally staid Forbes Magazine points in this direction.  It is crystal clear that this crisis far exceeds the limited bounds of the US mortgage market.

Here's my contribution to an understanding of the situation and why I say "The Financial Meltdown is Global and It is NOW".  For some time I have been saying that we would know that the great implosion is upon us when we see panic buying in the Japanese Yen.  I'll try to explain why this is significant and why I think this is happening right now.

First, you need to know that a major, if not primary source of liquidity (availability of funds) has been what's known as the "Yen Carry Trade".  The Japanese have had interest rates at nearly zero for many years.  This engendered the practice of borrowing Yen at very low rates and investing the loan in higher yielding financial instruments.  It's been a BIG trade and has continually supported world markets.  As long as markets keep going up, it's easy money.
However, the carry trade is a short sale of Yen.  That means that an investor sells Yen that he doesn't own to generate the proceeds of the sale to create the investment funds.  The investor must then BUY the Yen back at some point to close the trade.  Generally, the margins on a Yen carry trade are not that big.  That means to make big money with it you have to sell A LOT of Yen.  It also means that it doesn't take a big move in the price of the Yen or in the value of the investment to push the trade into a loss situation.

We now have a situation where the value of the investments financed by the Yen short sale (stocks, commodities, housing, other currencies) are going down and threatened with collapse AND the Yen has passed an important level where those short the Yen will panic to buy it back.  This process, long predicted by many students of the markets, is known as the "unwinding of the Yen carry trade".

The charts below show that the EuroYen has now passed a point of no return.  If you sold Yen and are holding Euro denominated assets, you are panicking right now.  You are going to buy Yen and get out of that trade as fast as possible.  That means that the Yen is going to skyrocket in value.  It means that a major source of liquidity in world markets is removed and a major selling force in world assets is being unleashed.  Once the Yen buying panic sets in, global markets will be in true crash mode.

3 Year EuroYen chart

The crucial 155-150 support zone was violated today.  This chart shows a breakdown out of a long term top.








This is the one year chart of the EuroYen.

The 150 level was tested in September.
The 155 level, formerly support, has now become resistance.  The subsequent breakdown of secondary support at 150 is a very negative indication






Again, there seem to be increasing indications that a major "point of no return" has been transgressed.  It is possible that the crisis may somehow be contained by truly massive inflation of the monetary supply by central banks worldwide.  Look for a global meeting of monetary powers to announce a "World Rescue Package" within the next two weeks.  I do think that the Money Masters have planned for a staged collapse.  However, the forces that they have created may now have escaped from Pandora's Box and it may no longer be fully within their control to contain.  Remember, the total size of the derivatives bomb planted in the building of the world economy exceeds 1.4 Quadrillion dollars, or about 2.5 times the world yearly GDP.  The US mortgage market derivatives totals only about 4% of this.

I reserve the right to be completely or partially wrong in this analysis.  I just call 'em how I see 'em.  At this moment, that's what it looks like to me.

Prepare yourself.


Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Reuters.com - SEC extends short sale ban to give Congress time

End the Fed (endthefed@sbcglobal.net) has sent you this article.  Personal Message:       Reuters.com - SEC extends short sale ban to give Congress time     http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE49107K20081002  This service is not intended to encourage spam. The details provided by your colleague have been used for the sole purpose of facilitating this email communication and have not been retained by Thomson Reuters. Your personal details have not been added to any database or mailing list.  If you would like to receive news articles delivered to your email address, please subscribe at http://www.reuters.com/newsmails

Reuters.com - Senate approves financial bailout

End the Fed (endthefed@sbcglobal.net) has sent you this article.  Personal Message:       Reuters.com - Senate approves financial bailout     http://www.reuters.com/article/email/idUSTRE4908CR20081002  This service is not intended to encourage spam. The details provided by your colleague have been used for the sole purpose of facilitating this email communication and have not been retained by Thomson Reuters. Your personal details have not been added to any database or mailing list.  If you would like to receive news articles delivered to your email address, please subscribe at http://www.reuters.com/newsmails

End the Fed! in Los Angeles


We did some sign waving in front of the Black Gate of Mordor L.A., Inc., better know as the Los Angeles Federal Reserve Bank Building. It was fun to just be there and we did get a good amount of honks and thumbs up from motorists.

We then went to a nearby Theatre where David Icke was to speak. We got out ETF and anti-Bailout flyers to all the people in line and sold ETF tshirts. We were VERY well received and we met a lot of spunky folks who will be joining us and helping to swell the ranks in front of the Black Gate on 11/22.  Video to follow!



$700 Billion Is Nothing

Ron Paul on CNN